coldread.dev

Data sources
Data sources

The data that grounds a run.

A panel read is only as good as what anchors it. Attach the data sets your campaign has — voter file cuts, election returns, polling, field notes — and the panel reads your message against them instead of guessing.

Message templates live in samples; who reacts lives in audiences.

Data sets

Attach what your campaign has. Each data set adds a grounding requirement to the run; you paste the actual numbers or notes in step 2 of the builder. Attach any combination, then start the run.

Best anchorBring file

Campaign voter file / VAN

Voter-file cuts, modeled scores, turnout history, contact history, and district geography.

Preserves the real target universe instead of making the panel infer party mix, geography, turnout, or contact history from message text.

district · precinct · party / modeled score · turnout · contact history

Use aggregate or permissioned campaign data only. Do not paste private voter identities into the demo.

Licensed modelsBring file

Catalist / TargetSmart / L2 / i360

Modeled partisanship, issue scores, demographic priors, vote propensity, and persuasion universes.

Lets the run distinguish base, persuasion, primary, low-propensity, and issue-specific audiences without collapsing them into one generic voter group.

modeled party · vote propensity · issue scores · segments · geography

Treat modeled scores as priors, not facts about individual voters.

Public resultsReady

Official election returns

Statewide, county, district, precinct, and runoff baselines from election officials or vetted public datasets.

Grounds the message read in real partisan history and recent turnout context before a campaign uploads proprietary files. Coldread includes official 2024 presidential statewide totals for all 50 states + DC; add county, district, precinct, or voter-file cuts when the read needs local precision.

vote totals · margins · turnout · precinct · year

Past returns explain context. They are not a turnout or persuasion forecast.

DemographicsReady

Census ACS and population trends

ZIP/ZCTA, county, district, and population-growth context from ACS and Census population estimates.

Shows whether the audience is stable, fast-growing, exurban, urban, older, younger, renter-heavy, owner-heavy, or otherwise demographically distinct.

population · growth · age · income · education · race / ethnicity

Aggregate demographics are recruitment context, not voter-file counts or individual preferences.

Voting frictionDataset-ready

EAC / NVRA election administration

Registration, voting method, provisional ballot, mail ballot, and election-administration friction.

Improves GOTV, deadline, vote-method, and voting-process copy by accounting for registration and ballot-friction patterns.

registration · mail voting · provisional ballots · turnout · administration

Administration data explains process friction. It does not say how voters feel about the message.

FinanceConnector-ready

Campaign finance (FEC / state filings)

Committee, contribution, spending, donor geography, amount band, and repeat-giving context.

Supports fundraising reads, opponent-money proof, small-dollar donor geography, and PAC or committee language. State races file with state ethics commissions (e.g., Missouri MEC), not the FEC.

committees · receipts · disbursements · donor geography · amount bands

Public finance records are not donor intent and should not stand in for the whole electorate.

Quentin fitReady

Missouri Auditor 2026 race kit

Missouri State Auditor race context, candidate committee facts, public campaign claims, election dates, and state-race finance rules.

Lets a Quentin Wilson run test the actual Auditor persuasion burden: voters must understand the office, believe the watchdog/resume frame, and see why one statewide check matters in an R+18 state.

MEC committee · SOS calendar · candidate bio · office stakes · Missouri returns

Use the public race kit as a starter brief. Campaign-owned voter-file, polling, field, donor, and event data should override public proxies.

Audit proofReady

State accountability and audit proof

Audit reports, state spending, public-corruption/fraud context, budget transparency, and measurable-government proof points.

Turns an Auditor message from abstract good-government language into testable proof: which waste, audit, spending, or performance example makes voters believe the office matters.

audit reports · state spending · fraud / waste · budget data · performance claims

Audit and spending data can support accountability claims, but the message must not imply misconduct without a sourced report or campaign-approved fact base.

Pocketbook contextReady

Local economic conditions

County, metro, and state employment, unemployment, income, and local economic trend context.

Makes jobs, wages, cost-of-living, and economic competence messages answer the local reality instead of leaning on national talking points.

unemployment · labor force · personal income · GDP · county / metro

Economic indicators explain conditions. They do not prove which candidate caused them.

Cost pressureReady

Housing burden and affordability

Rent burden, owner cost burden, overcrowding, tenure, income bands, and local housing-needs data.

Grounds housing, rent, property-tax, growth, and affordability messages in local pressure instead of generic cost copy.

rent burden · owner burden · tenure · income band · overcrowding

Housing burden is a condition measure. Pair it with local geography before using it to define an audience.

Local institutionsReady

Schools and education context

School district, enrollment, staffing, fiscal, and public education context for education and family messages.

Helps school, teacher, parent, growth, and tax messages reflect the local education system voters recognize.

district · school · enrollment · staffing · finance · grade span

School-system data is institutional context. Do not infer parent opinion from enrollment counts alone.

Issue contextReady

Community health and vulnerability

County, place, tract, and ZCTA health outcomes, risk behaviors, access measures, disability, and social-needs data.

Grounds healthcare, public safety, addiction, disability, elder-care, and quality-of-life messages in local conditions.

health outcomes · access · risk behavior · disability · ZCTA / county

Health indicators describe community conditions, not individual diagnoses or voter intent.

Place typeReady

Rural, suburban, and metro context

County metro/nonmetro classification, adjacency, urbanization, and rural/suburban context.

Prevents place-blind reads by distinguishing rural counties, exurbs, small metros, inner suburbs, and large metro counties.

metro · nonmetro · adjacency · urbanization · county

Place type should shape context and language, not substitute for voter-file or precinct data.

Safety contextReady

Public safety and crime context

Agency, county, city, and national crime, victimization, and public-safety trend context.

Keeps public-safety messages grounded in reported local conditions and separates official crime trends from voter fear, anecdote, or opponent framing.

agency · county / city · offense · victimization · trend year

Reported crime data and victimization surveys measure different things. Name the geography, year, and data caveats.

Daily frictionReady

Traffic, commute, and road safety

Traffic volume, commute, road safety, crash fatality, and transportation-system context.

Makes growth, infrastructure, commute, gas-tax, pedestrian-safety, and road-improvement messages answer the daily friction voters notice.

traffic volume · fatal crashes · commute · road class · state / county

Traffic and crash data show conditions and risk. They do not identify who voters blame without polling or field notes.

Risk contextReady

Weather, disasters, and resilience

Federally declared disasters, severe weather, billion-dollar disasters, assistance eligibility, and local resilience context.

Grounds climate, insurance, emergency management, flooding, wildfire, grid, and recovery messages in specific local risk and recent events.

disaster type · declaration · county · assistance · event cost · year

Disaster data can show exposure and history. It is not a forecast for a specific household or precinct.

Bills and gridReady

Energy costs and utilities

Electricity prices, generation mix, utility-sector trends, reliability context, and state energy conditions.

Helps power-bill, clean-energy, grid, utility, and cost-of-living messages reflect actual state and regional energy conditions.

electricity price · generation · utility · sector · state · trend year

Energy data explains costs and supply mix. It does not prove voter attribution or policy causality alone.

Access gapsReady

Broadband and digital access

Broadband availability, serviceable locations, subscription, device access, and internet-use context.

Grounds rural broadband, homework gap, telehealth, small-business, and digital government messages in actual coverage and adoption gaps.

broadband availability · location · provider · internet use · device access

Availability is not the same as affordability, adoption, speed experience, or service quality.

Rural economyReady

Agriculture and rural economy

Farm production, acreage, commodity, county typology, manufacturing, recreation, and rural economic dependence context.

Makes farm, food, rural hospital, small-town economy, trade, and land-use messages speak to the actual local economic base.

commodity · acreage · farm count · county typology · economic dependence

County economic dependence and farm data are place context, not an automatic stand-in for partisan identity.

Household pressureReady

Food access and assistance

Food access, food insecurity proxies, SNAP participation, store access, and local food-environment context.

Improves cost-of-living, child hunger, grocery access, farm bill, and benefits messages by grounding them in household pressure and place access.

SNAP · store access · low income · food environment · county

Program participation and food access data should be handled as aggregate conditions, not labels for individual voters.

Community contextReady

Language, citizenship, and immigration context

Language spoken at home, English proficiency, nativity, citizenship, immigration-flow, and community-composition context.

Helps outreach, translation, immigration, workforce, schools, and community-safety messages account for language access and immigrant-community realities.

language · English proficiency · nativity · citizenship · state / county

Use aggregate language and immigration context for access and framing. Do not infer status, eligibility, or opinion for individuals.

Service communityReady

Veterans, military, and VA footprint

Veteran population, age, disability, income, VA expenditures, benefit categories, facilities, and military-community context.

Grounds veterans, defense, VA, health care, jobs, and base-community messages in the size and needs of the local service community.

veteran population · disability · income · VA expenditures · county / state

Veteran population and VA spending data do not imply veteran opinion. Pair with polling or field notes for message preference.

Opinion dataBring file

Polling and crosstabs

Poll toplines, demographic crosstabs, issue salience, favorability, ballot, and message-test data.

Gives the read a known opinion baseline and highlights which groups already show issue demand, proof gaps, or trust risk.

toplines · crosstabs · issue salience · favorability · ballot

Include sample size, field dates, mode, and margin notes when available.

Listening layerBring file

Field, canvass, and organizer notes

Door notes, phone-bank patterns, organizer feedback, recurring objections, and local proof gaps.

Makes the simulated voters react to the real objections and language organizers are hearing instead of generic national talking points.

objections · local language · proof gaps · issue priority · volunteer notes

Summarize themes and anonymize individual voter notes.

Listening proofBring file

Campaign listening and concern intake

Survey, event, signup, reply, and concern-intake themes from the campaign's own listening loops.

Makes a message react to what Missourians are actually telling Quentin: what works, what does not, what worries them, and which outcomes they want government to improve first.

survey themes · event notes · issue priority · worry language · local proof gaps

Summarize and anonymize responses. Do not paste private contact details, raw phone numbers, or identifiable voter notes into a demo run.

Owned listBring file

CRM, donor, and supporter segments

Donor segments, supporter history, email engagement, volunteer cohorts, and contribution patterns.

Improves fundraising, mobilization, volunteer, and base-activation reads by separating donors from persuadable voters.

donor tier · engagement · volunteer history · supporter segment · geography

Do not use supporter or donor data as a proxy for persuadable voters.

Proof layerBring file

Press, oppo, and fact base

Local press clips, opposition research, fact checks, candidate biography, endorsements, and voting records.

Lets the run test whether claims feel supported, overreaching, locally credible, or vulnerable to rebuttal.

clips · quotes · records · endorsements · oppo claims

Separate sourced facts from claims the message wants voters to accept.

Language signalBring file

Social listening and comments

Replies, comments, DMs, search trends, creator discourse, and issue-language patterns.

Shows live phrasing, sarcasm, misinformation hooks, emotional triggers, and terms the campaign should avoid or reuse.

comments · replies · DM themes · search terms · misinformation hooks

Social volume is not representative opinion. Use it as language and objection discovery.

BaselineReady

Real voter data baseline

The default voter-data baseline used before additional campaign data is supplied.

Provides broad message-risk coverage, voice diversity, and a baseline read when campaign data is incomplete.

age · region · occupation · values · media diet · voice

This is simulated baseline research. Mark campaign reads as provisional when no real source data is attached.

Bundled: 2024 state election baselines

Real certified 2024 returns for all 50 states + DC ship with Coldread — vote totals, statewide margin, and whether the state registers voters by party. Pick a state to see its numbers, then attach them to your next run as source data.

Public resultsReady · 50 states + DC

Select a state to preview its 2024 baseline — the exact text a run receives as grounding.

Statewide election-environment context, not a local quota or a forecast. Supplied voter-file or registration counts always take precedence.

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